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Modèle Binômial


Avec SAS-GENMOD:

Voici ce que contient le fichier bino:
1   1   17   35
1   2   14   20
1   3    8   25
2   1   12   30
2   2   22   40
2   3   15   50
3   1   24   30
3   2   41   60
3   3   11   20

Programme:
data bino;
infile "bino";
input l c y n;
proc genmod data=bino;
class l c;
model y/n=l c l*c/ dist  = binomial
                   link  = cll
                   type1;
run;

Sortie:    
                           The GENMOD Procedure

                             Model Information

                 Description                     Value

                 Data Set                        WORK.BINO
                 Distribution                    BINOMIAL
                 Link Function                   CLL
                 Dependent Variable              Y
                 Dependent Variable              N
                 Observations Used               9
                 Number Of Events                164
                 Number Of Trials                310




                         Class Level Information

                         Class     Levels  Values

                         L              3  1 2 3
                         C              3  1 2 3

                  Criteria For Assessing Goodness Of Fit

           Criterion             DF         Value      Value/DF

           Deviance               0       -0.0000             .
           Scaled Deviance        0       -0.0000             .
           Pearson Chi-Square     0        0.0000             .
           Scaled Pearson X2      0        0.0000             .
           Log Likelihood         .     -196.6287             .

                      Analysis Of Parameter Estimates

     Parameter          DF    Estimate     Std Err   ChiSquare  Pr>Chi

     INTERCEPT           1     -0.2250      0.3096      0.5283  0.4673
     L          1        1     -0.7278      0.4716      2.3816  0.1228
     L          2        1     -0.8059      0.4040      3.9793  0.0461
     L          3        0      0.0000      0.0000           .       .
     C          1        1      0.7009      0.3838      3.3347  0.0678
     C          2        1      0.3647      0.3508      1.0809  0.2985
     C          3        0      0.0000      0.0000           .       .
     L*C        1  1     1     -0.1561      0.5787      0.0728  0.7874
     L*C        1  2     1      0.7737      0.5745      1.8136  0.1781
     L*C        1  3     0      0.0000      0.0000           .       .
     L*C        2  1     1     -0.3417      0.5476      0.3894  0.5326
     L*C        2  2     1      0.4412      0.4882      0.8168  0.3661
     L*C        2  3     0      0.0000      0.0000           .       .
     L*C        3  1     0      0.0000      0.0000           .       .
     L*C        3  2     0      0.0000      0.0000           .       .
     L*C        3  3     0      0.0000      0.0000           .       .
     SCALE               0      1.0000      0.0000           .       .

NOTE:  The scale parameter was held fixed.

                     LR Statistics For Type 1 Analysis

              Source       Deviance    DF   ChiSquare  Pr>Chi

              INTERCEPT     35.4480     0           .       .
              L             15.9369     2     19.5112  0.0001
              C              5.3727     2     10.5642  0.0051
              L*C           -0.0000     4      5.3727  0.2512

_______________________________________________________________

Programme:
proc genmod data=bino;
class l c;
make 'obstats' out=predi;
model y/n=l c/ dist  = binomial
               link  = cll
               obstats
               covb
               corrb
               waldci;
run;
data new;
set predi;
proc plot data=new;
plot yvar1*reschi yvar1*pred ;
run;

Sortie:    

                  Criteria For Assessing Goodness Of Fit

           Criterion             DF         Value      Value/DF

           Deviance               4        5.3727        1.3432
           Scaled Deviance        4        5.3727        1.3432
           Pearson Chi-Square     4        5.2527        1.3132
           Scaled Pearson X2      4        5.2527        1.3132
           Log Likelihood         .     -199.3151             .

 
 
 


                     Analysis Of Parameter Estimates

      Parameter       DF    Estimate     Std Err   ChiSquare  Pr>Chi

      INTERCEPT        1     -0.3579      0.2129      2.8268  0.0927
      L          1     1     -0.4555      0.2140      4.5322  0.0333
      L          2     1     -0.6645      0.1946     11.6658  0.0006
      L          3     0      0.0000      0.0000           .       .
      C          1     1      0.5488      0.2266      5.8659  0.0154
      C          2     1      0.6604      0.2178      9.1973  0.0024
      C          3     0      0.0000      0.0000           .       .
      SCALE            0      1.0000      0.0000           .       .

NOTE:  The scale parameter was held fixed.


                       Estimated Covariance Matrix

    Parameter
    Number             PRM1       PRM2       PRM3       PRM5       PRM6

    PRM1            0.04531   -0.02020   -0.02171   -0.03135   -0.03681
    PRM2           -0.02020    0.04578    0.01722  -0.002222   0.009396
    PRM3           -0.02171    0.01722    0.03785   0.004212   0.009330
    PRM5           -0.03135  -0.002222   0.004212    0.05135    0.03053
    PRM6           -0.03681   0.009396   0.009330    0.03053    0.04743


                       Estimated Correlation Matrix

         Parameter
         Number           PRM1     PRM2     PRM3     PRM5     PRM6

         PRM1           1.0000  -0.4434  -0.5242  -0.6498  -0.7940
         PRM2          -0.4434   1.0000   0.4136  -0.0458   0.2017
         PRM3          -0.5242   0.4136   1.0000   0.0956   0.2202
         PRM5          -0.6498  -0.0458   0.0956   1.0000   0.6187
         PRM6          -0.7940   0.2017   0.2202   0.6187   1.0000





                Normal Confidence Intervals For Parameters

                Two-Sided Confidence Coefficient: 0.9500
                Parameter      Confidence Limits


                PRM1          Lower       -0.7751
                PRM1          Upper        0.0593
                PRM2          Lower       -0.8749
                PRM2          Upper       -0.0361
                PRM3          Lower       -1.0458
                PRM3          Upper       -0.2832
                PRM5          Lower        0.1047
                PRM5          Upper        0.9930
                PRM6          Lower        0.2336
                PRM6          Upper        1.0873

                           Observation Statistics

        Y          N       Pred      Xbeta        Std    HessWgt      Lower

       17         35     0.5358    -0.2646     0.1869    18.7025     0.4127
       14         20     0.5761    -0.1530     0.2081     9.4789     0.4349
        8         25     0.3581    -0.8134     0.2252     9.0499     0.2481
       12         30     0.4635    -0.4736     0.1919    14.1808     0.3479
       22         40     0.5016    -0.3619     0.1795    18.4437     0.3873
       15         50     0.3021    -1.0224     0.1994    14.9665     0.2160
       24         30     0.7019     0.1909     0.1843    16.1985     0.5698
       41         60     0.7416     0.3025     0.1383    41.6576     0.6437
       11         20     0.5030    -0.3579     0.2129     9.2558     0.3691

                          Observation Statistics
                    Upper     Resraw     Reschi     Resdev

                   0.6694    -1.7544    -0.5946    -0.5937
                   0.7248     2.4788     1.1216     1.1431
                   0.4981    -0.9529    -0.3975    -0.4009
                   0.5963    -1.9064    -0.6980    -0.7011
                   0.6284     1.9366     0.6124     0.6130
                   0.4124    -0.1069    -0.0329    -0.0329
                   0.8240     2.9426     1.1745     1.2205
                   0.8305    -3.4969    -1.0313    -1.0088
                   0.6539     0.9402     0.4205     0.4209

         Plot of YVAR1*RESCHI.  Legend: A = 1 obs, B = 2 obs, etc.
  40 +           A
     |
     |
     |
     |
     |                                               A            A
Y 20 +
     |                     A           A
     |                   A                                       A
     |                                           A
     |                         A
     |
   0 +
     --+----------+----------+----------+----------+----------+----------+-
     -1.5       -1.0       -0.5        0.0        0.5        1.0        1.5

                                     Reschi

          Plot of YVAR1*PRED.  Legend: A = 1 obs, B = 2 obs, etc.

  40 +                                                          A
     |
     |
     |
     |
     |                           A                         A
Y 20 +
     | A                              A
     |                      A              A
     |                           A
     |         A
     |
   0 +
     --+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+--
      0.3          0.4          0.5          0.6          0.7          0.8

                                      Pred



Joseph Saint Pierre
1998-12-10